P&G Digital Guru Not Sure Marketers Belong on Facebook

Advertisers Shouldn't 'Hijack' Conversations, but Applications Hold Promise

Published: November 17, 2008

CINCINNATI (AdAge.com) -- Social networks may never find the ad dollars they're hunting for because they don't really have a right to them, said Ted McConnell, general manager-interactive marketing and innovation at Procter & Gamble Co., at a Nov. 15 forum on digital media.

In a talk to the Digital Non-Conference, a program by Cincinnati's Digital Hub Initiative presented by the Ad Club of Cincinnati and attended by about 190 people, Mr. McConnell pointed to the drumbeat of complaints about social networks being unable to monetize their sites.

"I have a reaction to that as a consumer advocate and an advertiser," he said. "What in heaven's name made you think you could monetize the real estate in which somebody is breaking up with their girlfriend?"

'Who said this is media?'
He went on to apply a similar standard to the broader world of consumer-generated media. "I think when we call it 'consumer-generated media,' we're being predatory," he said. "Who said this is media? Media is something you can buy and sell. Media contains inventory. Media contains blank spaces. Consumers weren't trying to generate media. They were trying to talk to somebody. So it just seems a bit arrogant. ... We hijack their own conversations, their own thoughts and feelings, and try to monetize it."

While it's not a company policy, but rather a personal preference, Mr. McConnell said, "I really don't want to buy any more banner ads on Facebook."

That's not to say he believes P&G should end all involvement with Facebook. He cited Facebook applications as a potentially valuable vehicle for advertisers, one in which they can create an environment that's favorable for their brands and consumers alike.

Uncomfortable about targeting
But while he appreciates the power of targeting afforded by Facebook, Mr. McConnell said, it also makes him uncomfortable.

He said a subordinate of his did an experiment in which he set out to use Facebook to find a 22- to 27-year-old female P&G employee living in Cincinnati "who likes sex and Cocoa Puffs -- that was literally the target ID he asked for Facebook to find." And he found such a person.

"So the targeting is fantastic," Mr. McConnell said. "You can do really amazing things. But I'm not so sure I want to be targeted like that. ... I don't think everything every consumer says to someone else and writes down is somehow monetizable by the media industry."

Inventory explosion
More broadly, Mr. McConnell said he believes marketer dollars will continue to flow online, but that won't necessarily be a boon to online publishers, because online display inventory continues to grow faster than the dollars going after it.

He cited research by Morgan Stanley showing cost-per-thousand rates on banner ads falling from $3 to $1 on average during this decade. And despite rapid growth of internet audiences in markets such as Brazil and China, he said, advertisers are able to pay CPMs of about 5 cents because of the even more rapid explosion of inventory there.

"Fragmentation thwarts artificial scarcity," he said, noting that CPMs for rich media have held up somewhat better. Search CPMs are growing largely because of Google's quality-scoring system, he said.

Despite the growth of online classified-advertising alternatives, Mr. McConnell said, classified revenue for offline publishers continues to dwarf online classified spending, leaving plenty of remaining revenue for newspapers and room for growth for online alternatives.

But the divergence of fortune for pay-per-click and other performance-based models vs. CPM-based models will only intensify as the economy worsens, Mr. McConnell predicted. "'Spray and pray' is a little harder to do when you're under economic pressure," he said. "So performance-based advertising will gain share over CPM."

Boutique segment a distinctive set

STR - 11.17.08

 

Whatever adjective you choose to use—hip, alternative, fresh or unique—boutique hotels are a distinctive and interesting group of hotels to analyze.

While the definition of a boutique hotel can vary widely, most agree that product offerings/assets in this space offer and promote a distinctive, urban/metro, contemporary and avant-garde feel. Disagreements about the definition of “boutique hotel” probably exist among both hoteliers and consumers, stemming from personal taste in FF&E packages (décor), atmosphere and architecture, both exterior and interior.

At STR, we objectively define hotels in the segment as having an actual or estimated room rate (ADR) of $175 or higher and a room count of 150 to 300 rooms. We also include major players in the boutique segment such as: Morgans Hotel Group (previously Ian Schrager Hotels), Kimpton Hotels, Joie de Vivre, Starwood’s W Hotels, recent product offerings from InterContinental Hotels Group’s Hotel Indigo brand, John Russell’s NYLO brand, Starwood’s Aloft and a number of independents that meet the definitional and objective criteria for the segment.

The boutique hotel segment is a collection of approximately 450 properties and 55,650 rooms accounting for less than 1.5 percent of all rooms available for rent in the United States. Growing in popularity and becoming a hip alternative place to stay for business and leisure travelers alike, the segment experienced notable supply growth in excess of 5.0 percent, starting in the late ‘90s and peaking at just over 7.0 percent before 9/11 and the resulting industry downturn. Currently, the 3.8-percent growth in room inventory outpaces the national average of 2.3 percent for the 12 months ending September 2008.

 

A tough operating environment has reduced demand for rooms 0.2 percent nationally while demand growth for boutique properties has grown by 2.5 percent in the latest 12-month period ending September 2008. Despite favorable levels of demand for the segment, the aforementioned 3.8 percent growth in supply yields a 70.6 percent absolute level of occupancy, which is a decline of 1.2 percent from a year ago.

Soft demand/occupancy in this current downturn has, in turn, affected rates. While the industry at large increased rates at just over 4.0 percent, hotels in the boutique segment were able to raise rates by 5.5 percent in the 12-month period ending September 2008.  However, this level of growth was markedly off from the 10.0 percent to 11.0 percent level enjoyed by the segment in both 2006 and most of 2007. The US$130 premium in ADR commanded by boutiques is certainly noteworthy and can be attributed to the distribution and density of product in major metro markets.

 

Revenue per available room growth of 4.2 percent came from the heavy contribution of the 5.5-percent growth in ADR and the 1.2-percent decline in occupancy. More importantly, RevPAR growth for the segment outpaced the national average of 1.7 percent. Similar to the ADR premium enjoyed over industry average, boutiques posted a US$100 premium in the absolute level of RevPAR for the 12 months ending September 2008.

 

 

If we look beyond this hopefully short downturn and into the future, the boutique segment appears poised to post favorable levels of performance and continue to be a viable option to the traditional hotel room and stay. New entrants into the competitive landscape like Aloft, Indigo, NYLO, and Edition—the Marriott/Ian Schrager partnership—will certainly shape this dynamic segment for years to come. Retiring baby boomers, Gen Xers, emerging Gen Yers and those consumers looking to escape big brands will certainly seek alternative, hip and unique surroundings, experiences and aspirations perhaps only a boutique hotel can offer. 

How Much Will Online Travel Slow? 

Nov. 13, 2008 - Online travel bookings will total $98.2 billion in 2008, up just 9% over 2007, according to PhoCusWright. The company said that some online travel providers would fare better than others, with rail sales growing by 28%, while hotel bookings would rise only 8%.

If the numbers prove true, this will be the first year of mere single-digit growth for US online leisure/unmanaged business travel. However, online growth will still be twice as high as that of the total travel market.

PhoCusWright said that reasons for online’s continued success included consumer comfort with online purchasing, perception of the Web as having the lowest prices and supplier disincentives for booking through other channels. The company also said sales from leisure/unmanaged business travel sites will represent 36% of the total market in 2008, up from 34% in 2007.

eMarketer’s most recent online travel sales estimates for the US were created in August 2008, in the midst of the economic slowdown but prior to the financial industry crisis. At the time, online leisure and unmanaged business travel sales (including airline, hotel, rental car, vacation package, intercity rail and cruise) were predicted to grow 12% this year to reach $105.1 billion.

Jeffrey Grau, senior analyst at eMarketer, said that if the market were being assessed today, the estimate would be lower and more in line with PhoCusWright’s.